Movies

Godzilla: King Of The Monsters $130M Overseas Bow Is #1, But Not Royal; Aladdin Still A Prince & Rocketman A Madman Across The Water – International Box Office

SUNDAY UPDATE, writethru: Warner Bros/Legendarys Godzilla: King Of The Monsters has come in with a $130M opening weekend launch at the international box office. As we noted yesterday, this is far lower than what the industry was seeing ahead of the debut. The continuation of Legendarys modern monster series is the No. 1 movie overseas, but the Kings bow is not royal. The 2014 Godzilla opened to $140M in like-for-like markets (unadjusted) and that brings up a host of questions.

Some had this one at potentially upwards of $200M if the emerging markets and China had really popped — our early estimate, based on a combination of industry sources, was $170M-$190M before we downgraded to $150M and then $130M yesterday. The growing SE Asia hubs certainly performed the best, and I hear WB is happy with those. China led, but while it looked critic-proof at the beginning with a 9 on Maoyan, the social scores dropped throughout the weekend and that figure is now an 8.5. The full weekend estimate there is $70M, the low end of the pre-opening range.

The movie was made for Asia, including majors China and Japan as well as the emerging hubs. Although Korea isnt a big monster consumer, it is a key market. But there was a wrench thrown in the works by the Cannes Film Festival which last week gave Bong Joon-ho the countrys first Palme dOr with Parasite. The win was followed by a heros welcome for Bong and a simply massive turnout at local turnstiles, which resulted in $24.5M through Sunday per Kobiz estimates. Godzilla did $2.2M there.

Latin America couldnt really be bothered by the King what with a big family movie out in the form of Aladdin, and Europe was meh on the monsters. Last time around, with the 2014 Godzilla, the UK bowed to nearly $11M and France was at $5.7M. They are sharply down this time around (UK $4.4M/France $2.6M). Some of the extra contributing factors here include the wonderful weather, distractions from the Champions League football final and hot competition from Aladdin and Rocketman (see below).

Legs will be an issue for the beast as we are fully in the summer season. Next weekend sees Fox/Disneys Dark Phoenix release day-and-date everywhere save Japan, while The Secret Life Of Pets 2 expands somewhat in Europe and Latin America and Bollywood icon Salman Khan has his latest, Bharat, on Wednesday. Then comes Sonys Men In Black: International, followed by Disney/Pixars Toy Story 4 and Sonys Spider-Man: Far From Home — all before Dis The Lion King roars into action mid-July. Warners has Annabelle Comes Home in late June then will really get going again with It: Chapter 2 and Joker in the fall.

So what happens to Godzilla Vs Kong? Dated for March 2020, the movie is the fourth chapter of Legendarys modern monster series. Certainly core fans are looking forward to it, but some of the criticism surrounding the current film is a lack of connection to the human characters in favor of epic fight scenes. Heres hoping the story appeals to more general audiences. But even Kong: Skull Island was a well-reviewed pic with major stars that didnt crack $600M worldwide on a reported $185M production budget.

Legendary contends King Of The Monsters net cost before P&A is $170M, but as Anthony has reported, weve heard from others the number is just under $185M. Warner Bros. is on the hook for 25% as they wanted to share in any potential spoils of the franchise. The 2014 Godzilla made an estimated $52M-plus in profit on $529M global box office and after all post theatrical streams off combined global P&A and production costs just under$300M. King Of The Monsters was largely shot between 2017 and 2018 in Atlanta with tax credits. Second unit work was done in Mexico. Legendary East is handling China, where we understand the movie does not have co-pro status so the return is about 25%. Toho has Japan.

The budgets are high, but there is a school of thought that suggests if youre going to deliver to the core audience, you need those costly VFX. The question becomes how to draw in the general audiences. This was indeed a competitive weekend, fair enough. But, perhaps this film played too much to the folks who wanted to see three-headed monsters thrashing about. Marrying Godzilla to King Kong next year may be a better sell. Still, is it worth revisiting this IP quite so soon?

Looking at that competitive landscape and how the rest of this weeks other movies fared. Disneys Aladdin showed great staying power, holding No. 1 in 32 markets and grossing $78.3M across 54 (and before Japan hops on the magic carpet). The international cume is now $260.9M. Globally, the Genie is at $446M to surpass the lifetime of Dumbo. Its doing better than the industry expected.

Paramounts Elton John biopic Rocketman added 39 markets this session to tune up $19.2M. That brings the overseas cume to $31.2M. The musical fantasy that blasted off in Cannes a few weeks ago is currently running on par with the similarly-rated A Star Is Born. Openings were mostly in the Nos. 1, 2 and 3 spots depending on the market.
Illumination/Universals The Secret Life Of Pets 2, after bowing in the UK last weekend, added eight markets this frame, including Russia where it kicked off at $11.6M for a No. 1 start thats over Incredibles 2 by 41%. The full weekend was worth $17.2M in nine markets.

Avengers: Endgame has now risen to $2.713B, and with Aladdin helped push Disney past the $5B worldwide mark with $5.147B to date. Of that, $1.638B is from domestic and $3.509B is from overseas. Including Foxs 2019 grosses to date, those totals rise to $1.841B domestic, $4.284B international and $6.125M global.
Elsewhere, John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum is closing in on $100M overseas.

Breakdowns on the above films and more have been updated below.

NEW
GODZILLA: KING OF THE MONSTERS

The Warner Bros release, which also depends on its partners in China (Legendary East) and Japan (Toho) and which is produced by Legendary, tumbled off initial projections to land a $130M international opening. Thats a big number either way, but we watched as those estimates fell through the weekend.

The lowdown is that this is the No. 1 movie overseas, but met with difficulty caused by factors that we outlined above. In like-for-like markets it did not meet 2014s Godzilla. The questions surrounding the movie are: who is it for? and how does the IP ignite a fresh audience? Theres time before Godzilla Vs Kong thunders in next March — and maybe more global audiences will be goosed by the big ape — but this movies start was ignominious. Despite fan fervor, it isnt pulling in general audiences, however, to be fair, it also suffered from a lot of competing factors.

Either way, its the No. 1 movie internationally this weekend, and with $130M overall, including $70M in China, its nothing to sniff at. But the budget and expectations, as well as how it sets up Godzilla Vs Kong, have left some industry insiders scratching their heads. Lets look at the individual markets.

Predictably, the top result was in China with an estimated $70M (RMB 480M). Thats better by 116% on the 2014 Godzilla, but just on par with Skull Island.
Japan took in an estimated $8.4M on over 600 screens, ranking No. 1 and surpassing all comps including Godzilla and Skull Island.
Mexicos opening ranked No. 2 with $4.6M. Frances cume is $2.6M from 613 screens at No. 2.

The UK was just dismal at $4.4M from 981 screens. Even at No. 2 per WB thats way lower than Godzilla. Its only on par with The Meg.
Taiwan fared better at $4.1M to land No. 1 by a large margin and topping all comps. Indonesia ended up with the monster movie at No. 2 with $3.5M from 727 screens. Thailand posted $2.3M on 705 screens, ranking a dominant No. 1 and coming in 7% ahead of the previous Godzilla movie. Malaysia made $2.2M from 653 screens to rank No. 1.

Russia, which went largely to the dogs of Pets 2, made $2.5M for a No. 3 start.

India opened to an estimated $2.5M from 1,721 screens, ranking No. 1. Theres not much space left in this market which has a Salman Khan movie opening for the Eid-al-fitr holiday this week.

In IMAX, the news appears rosier. There was $22.7M from 1,400 screens worldwide for the 5th highest global IMAX bow ever. Of that, $14.6M is from overseas for the 2nd highest WB international IMAX opening weekend ever. The IMAX China network delivered $9.4M of the offshore total.

HOLDOVERS/EXPANSIONS
ALADDIN

To some surprise, Disneys Aladdin has had great staying power, holding to No. 1 in 32 markets overseas and grossing $78.3M across 54 this weekend (and before Japan hops on the magic carpet). The international cume is now $260.9M. Globally, the Genie is at $446M to surpass the lifetime of Dumbo.

The midweeks were strong with Monday-Thursday conjuring $66M for 61% of the initial weekend.

Regionally, Europe dipped 34% and was still No. 1 in Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, South Africa, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, UAE and UK. Impressive holds were in such markets as Poland (+21%), Denmark (+17%), Belgium (+7%), France (+2%), Germany (+2%), Netherlands (-8%), Austria (-13%), South Africa (-17%), Portugal (-20%), UK (-26%), Switzerland (-27%) and Sweden (-28%).

Asia Pacific dipped overall by 35%, with strong holds in Korea (-11%), Indonesia (-16%), Hong Kong (-17%), New Zealand (-21%), Philippines (-23%), Australia (-26%), Taiwan (-32%), Singapore (-32%), Malaysia (-35%), Vietnam (-38%), Thailand (-43%) and China (-49%).
Latin America remained keen on the Genie with a 26% overall drop. Aladdin is No. 1 again in each of the regions markets.

The Top 5 so far are China ($39.4M), the UK ($24.2M), Mexico ($19.2M), Korea ($15.2M) and Italy ($12.7M).

ROCKETMAN

After his early UK bow last weekend, the madman across the water has made $19.2M this session. That brings the total to $31.2M in 40 offhshore markets. On a like-for-like basis for all markets in release, this weekends result is on par with the similarly R-rated A Star Is Born, and just 6% below The Greatest Showman and 28% below La La Land.

Australia was the top grosser this weekend for this Dexter Fletcher-helmed musical fantasy with $3.9M from 310 locations. France came in next with $1.8M at 472. Germany was worth $1.5M from 523.

New Zealand notably delivered a huge No. 1 at $911K from 111 sites.

The UK in its second weekend grabbed another $3.2M from 720 to cume a captain fantastic $15.3M.
THE SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2

Illumination/Universals menagerie made a further $17.2M overseas in what is a slow rollout for the sequel. The international cume is now $28.4M after two frames that include only the UK and Russia as majors.

During a holiday week, the UK came in a No. 2 and has now grossed $14.4M. New to the household was Russia with $11.6M from 1,863 locations and including previews. The Chris Renaud-helmed sequel had 52% of the market.

Smaller markets were strong against comps as the pic is poised to wag its tail through many more overseas hubs through the summer.

POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU

pokemon detective pikachu

The little yellow sleuth is still pulling in overseas markets with an extra $14.6M on 10,319 screens in 73 markets. The overseas running cume is now $261.5M and the worldwide total is $392.1M.

China has kept up apace with the movie at No. 4 amid a lot of competition this weekend, and with a cume of $90.4M. Japan has risen to $23.7M.

The Top 5 at this point are those two, followed by the UK ($16.1M), Mexico ($11.2M) and Germany ($11M).

JOHN WICK: CHAPTER 3 – PARABELLUM

John Wick: Chapter 3

Spain was the new opener for the assassin this weekend with a No. 2 debut at $769K for +195% on John Wick 2.

Overall, the Lionsgate movie added $12.7M offshore for an international cume of $95.9M and a global tally of $221.7M.

The Top 5 cumes so far are the UK ($10.2M), Australia ($7.5M), Russia ($7M), Germany ($6.7M) and Mexico ($5.9M).

AVENGERS: ENDGAME
Still in the game, Disney/Marvels series-ender added $8.6M this weekend offshore. That lifts the international cume to $1.898B and global to $2.713B

UPDATED CUMES/NOTABLE
*Ma (UNI): $2.8M intl weekend (31 markets)
The Hustle (UNI/var): $1.8M intl weekend (32 UNI markets); $40.8M intl cume (including non-UNI hubs)
Brightburn (SNY): $1.4M intl weekend (51 markets); $10.5M intl cume
A Dogs Journey (UNI/var): $700K intl weekend (16 UNI markets); $36.8M intl cume (including non-UNI hubs)
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MORE…

SATURDAY UPDATE: Much as it is domestically, Warner Bros/Legendarys Godzilla: King Of The Monsters is sinking overseas versus earlier industry estimates with an opening weekend now on either side of $130M at the international box office. The mash made $31.4M on Friday in 75 markets for an offshore cume through yesterday of $48.2M. The 2014 Godzilla bowed to $140M in like-for-like overseas markets at unadjusted rates.

So whats happening here and why were the pre-weekend estimates so off? While it appears that creature feature fans — and those who have warmed to this particular giant beast in the past — are keen on the film, general moviegoers arent making a beeline. One international distribution source suggests folks may feel like this is a rehash. Posits this person, “Whats the difference between this one and the 2014 movie in peoples minds?”

The “who-is-this-film-for?” question indeed has some folks scratching their heads. “Seeing a giant sea monster fight other giant creatures as the key moments in a picture lacks the audiences ability to have an emotional journey tied to the central character,” notes another source.

The film was built for the Asian markets, and the bulk of international promotion was done in China and Japan. Many of the smaller and more emerging SE Asia hubs are giving off No. 1s, as expected. Japan, Godzillas home market, bowed to $2.2M on Friday on over 600 screens (via WBs partners at Toho) to rank No. 1 and outperform all comps including +37% over the previous Godzilla.

As noted yesterday, China is coming in softer than projected. Not included in the total above is the Saturday flash estimate from Legendary East which is an estimated $30M (RMB 210M). That lifts the Middle Kingdoms running cume to $48M through Saturday. Today was the Childrens Day holiday, and the Sunday drop is expected to be steep. We are seeing a potential $67M-$70M launch for the three-day.

ElsewherRead More – Source

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