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Race-by-race guide and tips for Randwick on Thursday

Selections based on a good track.

Race 1 – 3:05PM TWILIGHTS RETURN TO RANDWICK PLATE (1100 METRES)

Unless one of the first starters is well above average 2. Blazing Miss will have her chance to atone for a debut defeat as an odds-on favourite at Newcastle. She probably found the 900m there a bit sharp but once in the clear she kept coming, taking a length or so off the winner in the last 200m. That run under her belt is a plus and from barrier one there should be no excuses.

NSW Racing eyes turn to Cessnock Racecourse on Thursday.

NSW Racing eyes turn to Cessnock Racecourse on Thursday.Credit:Fairfax Media

Dangers: 7. Terrifying has had the one public trial at Cranbourne recently and while no match for the winner she wasnt overly tested either. Have to respect the Hayes/Dabernig team for bringing her here and shes a threat. 5. Single Blonde was professional as youd expect from the Waterhouse/Bott stable racing on the pace and edging away late in her trial at Gosford a couple of weeks ago. Youd picture here right on the speed here and giving a good account. 3. Chelsea Reign had good support on debut at Canterbury but didnt pass a horse in a run thats puzzling looking at her trials before and after. Obviously better than what she showed there and no surprise to see a sharp improvement.

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How to play it: Blazing Miss to win.

Race 2 – 3:40PM SUMMER RACING HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

Plenty of unknowns with first starters from a number of strong stables. 6. Haut Brion Her is a well bred filly who looked nippy when winning a trial at Rosehill on November 2. Her dam won her first two starts and was multiple stakes placed and this filly appeared to do it with ease in that trial. Drawn nicely and any support would be significant.

Dangers: 2. Go For Gold is from the prolific Pedrille family and hes been quite smart in his two trial wins, particularly the latest at Warwick Farm where he was quite dominant. If he runs up to the trials then hes sure to be right in the finish. 5. Aurman Zou attracted support at Randwick last start but was trapped wide throughout and just battled on beaten a couple of lengths. Due for a change of fortune and wouldnt surprise to see him ridden a bit colder this time and allowed to run on. Each-way. 1. That Song was largely unwanted in betting but hit the lead before being run down by Nordicus at Randwick back onto a good track. Will need some luck from the wide gate but that looks to be a strong maiden, with the fourth horse already winning since, so he has to be included.

How to play it: Haut Brion Her each way.

Race 3 – 4:15PM ANZ BLOODSTOCK NEWS HANDICAP (2500 METRES)

1. Mazaz ran a blinder first-up on this track but hasnt been as effective in two runs since. That said he was ridden upside down at Rosehill in a stronger race behind Sky Boy so overlook that one. He doesnt win out of turn but theres no reason his turn wont be this one.

Dangers: 2. Equipped is getting fitter and it cant be long before he strikes his best after three runs back. He also comes through the Sky Boy race and he ran on okay without threatening. Strike rate is becoming a worry but he gets his chance. 3. The Bandit is on the back up after chasing home Tamarack in a four horse field on Saturday. He was runner-up to Heartlet prior to that so if he holds his form then he can be in the finish again. Another, though, whose strike rate is a concern. 6. Irenic is a last start winner at Wagga over the 2500m and while his form can be mixed he gets in with 51kg and as an on pacer could give a sight.

How to play it: Mazaz to win.

Race 4 – 4.50PM EVENTS BY ATC SPRINT (1100 METRES)

1. Natalia came up a bit shorter priced than expected but she was super impressive stretching away to win at Newcastle second-up. She went under as favourite at this trip when resuming but happy to overlook that from a wide alley and this looks a very winnable race for her. Drawn ideally and she should take beating.

Dangers: 7. Kedah is another coming off a 900m win at Newcastle, she went around at $1.35 and there wasnt a moments worry for those who took the short price. Hard to knock her with two wins from as many starts and no surprise at all to see her win again. 1. Miss Invincible was on the speed all the way and boxed on to hold second behind Whiskey Shooter in a similar race to this one a few weeks back. Same weight, drawn well and will be in the firing line a long way. Just a matter of whether the two up and comers have more scope for improvement. 8. Mosuo has been very strong late in her two wins and if they overdo it up front shell be the one steaming home late. Did quite a good job to win at Goulburn last time and an extra 100m is only in her favour. Each-way.

How to play it: Natalia to win; Trifecta 2/1,7, 8/1,7,8.

Race 5 – 5.30PM BOWERMANS OFFICE FURNITURE HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

1. Groundbreak doesnt have a super first-up record but he appeals fresh here with blinkers on first time in a race that could set up nicely for him. He hasnt had a long spell and last time we saw him he charged from the back off a wide gate to run third behind Paret who would towel this opposition up. Nice quiet trial in the same heat as Seasons, and without blinkers, and if he lands in the right spot he can run over the top of them.

Dangers: 2. Discussions led all the way to win a similar race three weeks ago and didnt appear in danger of defeat at any stage. Whether he is afforded the same sort of run remains to be seen but if he lands in front again he will take some catching. 1. Bravissimo contested the same race and wasnt able to press for the front but held his ground running third. Best chance for mine is to take up the running but thats something we cant know before they jump. Must be included in the chances regardless. 6. All In Rhythm will be a lot fitter for a first-up run a month ago at Warwick Farm where he wasnt really a factor over the 1000m. Distance suits him a lot better here and being another who excels when in front if he gets there then he could surprise.

How to play it: Groundbreak each way; Quinella 2 and 4

Race 6 – 6:05PM TAB REWARDS HANDICAP (1550 METRES)

1. Naia looks to be the best on the program and its a big chance for her to break through after a couple of fast-finishing thirds over shorter trips. She was able to settle midfield last start but was just a bit flat when they sprinted before she steamed home to be narrowly beaten behind Vinnie Power, who has run well again since, and probably wins in another bound or two. Both her wins are around this distance range and shes entitled to go close.

Dangers: 3. Toryjoy was a bit too far out of her ground first-up at Newcastle but she ran on well enough to suggest shes come back in good order and can lift. Only run around the mile range was a handy second behind Chalmers on a heavy track and she did win second-up last prep, albeit narrowly. Good chance. 1. Aurora Rose was no match for the first two home but I thought she ran a nice race fresh at Rosehill behind Sexy Eyes. She lacked a sprint there which isnt surprising given she hasnt won below 2200m as yet but if she gets control up front she could give them something to run down. 5. Perfect Pitch had plenty of support into equal favourite when an even fourth in the same race as Naia a couple of weeks ago. Yet to tick that distance box and doesnt look as suited as Naia to the trip but shes an each-way hope.

How to play it: Naia to win; Trifecta 4/1,3,5/1,3,5.

Race 7 – 6:45PM AUSTRALIAN TURF CLUB HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

1. All Too Royal has reacted to being gelded this prep with a couple of strong wins in country and provincial Victoria and has landed in a race where he looks very hard to beat. It wasnt a bad effort at all to win at Mornington last start where he was handy early then eased before making another run and breaking clear. Has an extra 100m here but a nice draw, likely good speed and Kerrin McEvoy to ride. Plenty to like.

Dangers: 2. Ellies Encore won narrowly over this course with the same weight and rider on October 31 then up in class at Rosehill she wasnt able to race as handy but ran on without threatening late. Expect her to be much closer this time and she can be in the finish as usual. 7. Connemara is unbeaten after two starts and is a very interesting runner. Drawn the outside but has shown tactical speed. Nice win at Scone over their carnival before a spell and she trialled strongly at Kembla recently. If shes above average, and this will tell is, shell be very hard to beat. 8. Pro Consul has put two nice efforts together of late and if there is some speed on up front as it appears then hell be the one thundering late. Wasnt far from Ellies Encore when third at Warwick Farm a month ago so cant be overlooked.

How to play it: All Too Royal to win; Box Quinella 2,4,7.

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